Will the HDP pass the parliamentary threshold?

One survey says the Peoplesand’ Democratic Party (HDP) is under the 10 percent parliamentary threshold another one says it has already passed it. These one or two percentage points will shape the future of the country. If the HDP passes the threshold, the Justice and Development Party (AKP) most probably will not be able to form a government on its own. If the HDP fails, almost all of its seats in Parliament will go to the AKP. If the HDP fails, democracy in Turkey will fail altogether. If the HDP fails, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan will have the power to change the governmental system. As a result, Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoilu and President Erdogan spend most of their time attacking the HDP and its leader, Selahattin Demirtai. Surveys show us that Erdoganand’s tactics are working. When Demirtai said that the HDP would abolish the Religious Affairs Directorate, Erdogan successfully distorted his remarks and portrayed him as a person who is against religion, and the HDP lost one percentage point of support automatically. In the last week, it seems that it has gained it back. Bomb attacks on the Adana and Mersin offices of the party seem to have attracted sympathy to the HDP once again. Most probably, religious Kurds who distanced themselves from the HDP as a result of Erdoganand’s successful campaign using religious symbols are coming back because they see the HDP as a victim of aggression in the aftermath of the bomb attacks. As we were expecting, nowadays the AKP is trying to use Kurdistan Workersand’ Party (PKK)ard against the HDP. They are trying to portray the HDP as a violent movement and so on. If you ask me, the hundreds of attacks on the HDP share the same purpose: namely, to provoke the HDP and generate a violent response. It is ironic that this government, which presents itself as the champion of peace, is now trying to kill it with all its power. Imagine how the Kurds of this country will feel if the HDP falls under the national threshold by just a few votes? Kurds have long been invited to join political life and to refrain from violence as a means to struggle for their rights, but now the ruling party is trying to do anything in its power to block Kurds from entering Parliament. If the HDP fails to pass the threshold, it would not only feel betrayed but also cheated. Like most people would, HDP voters would probably believe that their votes had been stolen. You may call it paranoia, but there is almost pandemic distrust, and many people are seriously concerned about the security and reliability of the elections. People are suspicious that the ruling party — which sees this election as a matter of life and death — may try to do some tricks to influence the result. And of course, if any trick is done, it will be related to the HDPand’s votes. In the end, the HDPand’s share of the vote will define whether or not the AKP can form a government on its own.
We are holding our breath and waiting to see into what kind of Turkey we will wake up to on June 8, the day after the elections. Will we see that the ruling party has been weakened and democracy is stronger, or will we see that somehow the AKP has attracted enough votes to continue its voyage to establish an authoritarian regime? Wait and see.

SOURCE: Today’s Zaman