Coalition and government possibilities

The elections are over, and with them, the Justice and Development Partyand’s (AKP) 13-year, solo grip on power has also come to an end.
As for President Recep Tayyip Erdoganand’s dream of becoming a and”Turkish-type president,and” it appears destined to remain just that: a dream. A new era has thus begun in Turkey, and the most important aspect of this new era is the normalization of Turkey, as the damage done by the AKP and Erdogan is reversed.
But how will all this be possible?
Will it be possible to undo the damage for which the AKP is responsible under a government in which the AKP is one of the main coalition partners? It would be. But in order for this to happen, the AKP would need to engage in some serious self-examination and accounting within its ranks, and it would also need to share some honest self-criticism of its actions with the public. Notably, it would need to accept the re-opening of the Dec. 17 and 25 corruption investigation files. It would need to stop blocking the four former government ministers alleged to be closely involved in corruption from being tried before the governmentand’s High Court. It would have to accept a parliamentary re-examination of the controversial Domestic Security Law and the National Intelligence Organization (MiT) law. In the meantime, it would have to stop being a defender of Erdoganand’s arbitrary style of leadership, which seems to see itself as being hindered by no laws or regulations. And lastly, it would have to accept changes to the Political Parties Law and the dropping of the election threshold to something lower and more reasonable than the current 10 percent. An AKP that does not accept the above changes will not be able to form a coalition with any other party in Parliament. And any party that accepted forming a coalition with the AKP in its current state would be committing political suicide. How would the Republican Peopleand’s Party (CHP) ever be able to explain to its supporters how it was able to form a coalition with an AKP that was unwilling to change itself? And what about the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP)? Would it have any political believability left if after asserting that the ruling party needed to and”first account for its corruption,and” it went ahead and formed a coalition with the AKP? And would the Peoplesand’ Democratic Party (HDP) be able to hold on to its strong support if it ignored its own oft-mentioned declaration that and”we will not form a coalition with the AKP and we will not provide support from the outside for such a coalition eitherandquot? So in the end, for these reasons, the real responsibility right now lies with the AKP. It needs to carry out some serious accounting for the reasons it lost votes in this election and then it needs to share its findings with the public. It would only be after doing this that a coalition government with the AKP as one of the main partners would be possible, or even a good idea. In the meantime, if this is not what happens, a three-party coalition with the other main parties does not look likely, due to the contrasting stances of the MHP and HDP.
This being the case, it appears that one likely scenario might be a CHP-led restoration government, with outside support from the MHP and HDP. With compromise from other parties, the CHP could put forward a government program that would help bring Turkey to a more normal and healthy position this would last for at least two years. But of course, what makes this option risky is none other than the President Erdogan factor. Judging from information bouncing off the corridors in Ankara, Erdogan is planning on forcing a crisis that would push the country towards an early election at the end of the year. And let us not forget that Erdogan holds in his hands the authority to give the task of forming a new government to any parliamentarians he wishes and to call for early elections if the government remains unformed.
And this is why I am calling first and foremost for the AKP to behave responsibly. Among the ranks of the AKP, there are those who see clearly and understand well the real reasons behind the AKPand’s losses in this election. Another possibility, in the meantime, is that these people will raise their voices in the coming times, which might even push the AKP towards a split. To wit, one important AKP co-founder and a man who acted for many years as Erdoganand’s right hand man within the AKP, Dengir Mir Mehmet Firat (who incidentally was elected as an HDP MP from Mersin on Sunday), believes this is what will happen.
With each passing day, the path that lies before us will become clearer and clearer of this, there is no doubt.