CAFER – The shadow on the future of Turkey

The shadow on the future of TurkeyPrime Minister and presidential candidate Recep Tayyip ErdoIanand#39s andquotcauseandquot is now recognized on a global scale. Analyses that suggest he wants to be a despot, which places him in the authoritarian rather than democraticliberal camp, certainly have merits.

Germanyand#39s influential political weekly magazine Der Spiegel had ErdoIan on its cover last week. The cover story was titled andquotThe ErdoIan state.

andquot The analysis tried to find an answer to the question andquotWill Turkey be free under ErdoIan if he is elected president?andquotIn recent months, many newspapers and journals in Europe and the United States have published similar analyses. We know that ErdoIan and his cronies tend to react harshly to such publications and that they use such stories and analyses to manipulate the public perception, saying andquotOutside circles are jealous of us.

andquot This is possibly what will happen to Der Spiegel. The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) is already angry at the German government in connection with the recognition of Alevisand#39 rights.

As you may remember, ErdoIan has defined Germanyand#39s recognition of the rights of Alevis living in Germany as andquotseparatismandquotWhen the ErdoIan-led AKP came to power in 2002, Turkey was feeling pressure about the need for democratic change, which could no longer be postponed. With a mentality that supported andquotstatus quoandquot governance, Turkey could not move forward.

Aertising itself as a andquotpro-changeandquot party, the AKP seemed to recognize this need. As those political parties that failed to see the need for change suffered a fatal defeat in the elections, the surviving parties were not as convincing as the AKP regarding andquotchange.

andquot I would safely argue that the AKPand#39s election success was the result of the opposition partiesand#39 failure.Following a referendum in 2010 and especially after the 2011 elections, ErdoIan and the AKP quickly moved away from andquotpro-changeandquot policies and assumed the current identity.

In the wake of the graft and bribery probes of Dec. 17 and 25, ErdoIan and the AKP were restored to their original essences.

Instead of facilitating judicial processes regarding corruption allegations, ErdoIan opted to fight these allegations and started to take the entire state apparatus under his strict control. Labeling the graft probe as an attempted andquotcoupandquot by a andquotparallel state,andquot he made many people believe his lies and used this discourse as an excuse for establishing a andquotone-party regime.

andquotErdoIanand#39s plan is obvious. He will become president.

He will start to implement a de facto presidential system He will use all the powers and authorities available under the Constitution of the coup regime of Sept. 12, 1980.

For instance, he will preside over all Cabinet meetings. He will hand pick a person to be prime minister His control over the judiciary and legal institutions will continue.

During the parliamentary elections of 2015, he will act like a party leader — not as an impartial president — so his party can come to power as a single party. After ensuring this, he will declare the victory of a andquotone-manandquot regime.

If he can ensure that his party secures enough seats to change the Constitution, he will amend the Constitution to formalize the presidential systemThis is the essence of ErdoIan andquotcause.andquot This plan does not have democracy, freedom or a permanent solution to Turkeyand#39s deep-rooted problems and lack of social peace.

These are the andquotusefulandquot arguments for ErdoIan as long as they serve his purposes.However, Turkeyand#39s future must be democratic, and those who see democracy as an andquotinstrumentandquot to perpetuate their rule are nothing but shadows on this future.

SOURCE: Today’s Zaman